Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.009698 0.011565 0.013850 0.016907 0.020972 0.026324 0.034135
2025-05-18 0.007151 0.009221 0.012063 0.016416 0.023256 0.034283 0.055176
2025-05-25 0.005697 0.007690 0.010619 0.015514 0.024131 0.040288 0.078439
2025-06-01 0.004806 0.006706 0.009645 0.014894 0.025030 0.046701 0.110026
2025-06-08 0.004342 0.006253 0.009357 0.015282 0.027880 0.059070 0.178273
2025-06-15 0.003892 0.005736 0.008843 0.015085 0.029425 0.069684 0.269684
2025-06-22 0.003437 0.005143 0.008088 0.014213 0.029063 0.074800 0.357183
2025-06-29 0.003190 0.004863 0.007844 0.014324 0.031201 0.090368 0.608278
2025-07-06 0.003030 0.004714 0.007811 0.014879 0.034838 0.116718 1.324492
2025-07-13 0.002945 0.004682 0.007996 0.015985 0.040823 0.165683 4.929839
2025-07-20 0.002813 0.004548 0.007950 0.016520 0.045364 0.219778 29.316744
2025-07-27 0.002653 0.004341 0.007723 0.016528 0.048069 0.271282 829.800865
2025-08-03 0.002481 0.004114 0.007460 0.016495 0.051247 0.350252 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002294 0.003841 0.007065 0.016015 0.052390 0.421754 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002104 0.003545 0.006578 0.015142 0.051201 0.461148 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001953 0.003313 0.006207 0.014543 0.051093 0.528117 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001876 0.003223 0.006154 0.014918 0.056588 0.794717 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001775 0.003074 0.005941 0.014728 0.058838 1.044928 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001649 0.002864 0.005559 0.013883 0.056465 1.094190 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001583 0.002775 0.005459 0.013991 0.060558 1.637509 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001543 0.002735 0.005479 0.014527 0.068509 3.231177 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001526 0.002746 0.005627 0.015598 0.082745 11.383438 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001487 0.002703 0.005629 0.016115 0.093554 48.746853 NaN